Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Spet Oct Poll Crunch 2006



I have not done a Poll Crunch since the summer. So to rectify the situation here is the Presidents standing as of today. Much has been in the media about a "bump" for Bush. I see no real evidence of this as the poll-crunch plainly illustrates.

Approve: 36.5%
Disapprove: 58.5%
Duh: 5%

This has one of the lowest "Duh" ratings of any poll cruch. Very few undecided people in these polls. These number are derivedd from 7 national polls taken between 9-01-06 and 10-06-06. The spread on the Approval side ranges from a low of 33% to a high of 45%. The most recent polling from CNN/Wall Street Journal/ and NBC has him at 39%. This is down from a high of 42% two weeks ago.

Most positive poll: LA Times/Bloomberg of 9/16 has him at 45%
Least positive poll: Newsweek at 33%

My bellweather poll is the FOX/Opinion Dynamics poll and it places him at: 42% on 9/26

To anybody from the Clintonian school of politics this would be a disaster. To the bushleague they couldn't care less. They do not care how unpop[ular Bush is. All they want is enough of the true-believers to come out to vote to swing things their way. I am not sure if this calculation is going to come out in their favor this time.

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